Chance (16 Nov 2025)
"Russian Testing Borders - Moving Closer to All Out War?"


 
Hello John and Doves,
 
The Russians continue to test the U.S. defenses with their incursions.  They study our responses and response times.  'Exactly how will the U.S. respond and how long do we have before they are right on top of us?'  We do the same thing to them.
 
The Russians are doing this 'testing' with NATO also.
 
And recently President Trump said he had instructed the Pentagon to resume nuclear testing.  Russia wants to know what he means by this exactly.  And whatever he does, they will do in kind.  
 
A recent summit in Bulgaria was cancelled by both the U.S. and Russia - too much verbal volatility between the two.  SOS Rubio says we need to communicate and Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov agrees - but both sides have their demands for a ceasefire/peace deal in Ukraine.  And neither side is budging one inch.
 
And President Trump has called for the resumption of nuclear testing - supposedly this means making sure they can still go 'boom'.  And obvious threat to Russia.
 
Who knows...maybe one day, the Russian incursions won't be a test.  
 
Russian Navy Vessel Off Oahu:
 
The U.S. Coast Guard responded to a Russian spy vessel some 15 nautical miles south of Oahu.
 
The Russian ship, the Kareliya, is a Vishnya class ship designed "for signals intelligence gathering via an extensive array of sensors.  Data can be transmitted to shore via satellite link antennas."  These ships are also armed for self-defense.
 
A nation's territorial waters extend to 12 nautical miles from the coast.

Coast Guard detects Russian military vessel near Hawaiian waters | Fox News
 
Earlier this year, the Royal Navy monitored a Russian spy ship "operating in U.K. waters"....it was "gathering intelligence and mapping the U.K.'s critical underwater infrastructure."
 
Russian spy planes are "routinely spotted off the U.S., particularly inside the Alaskan identification zone."

Russian military spy ship tracked by U.S. Coast Guard off Hawaii coast
 
There are 13 U.S. military bases in Hawaii:  Ft. Shafter, Fort DeRussy, Pohakuloa Training Center, Schofield Barracks, Wheeler Army Airfield, Pacific Missile Range Facility Barking Sands, Naval Computer and Telecommunications Area Master Station Pacific, Naval Station Pearl Harbor, Bellows Air Force Bases, Hickam Air Force Base, Marine Corp Base Hawaii, United States Coast Guard Station Maui, United States Coast Guard ISC Honolulu, 

Military Bases in Hawaii: A List Of All 13 Bases In HI
 
So we have bases for the Army, Navy, Marines, Air Force, Coast Guard in the Hawaiian Islands- a very, very busy and valuable area to Russian and Chinese spies.
 
Russian Drones Test NATO's Border:
 
This was reported on November 11, 2025:  
 
"From Lithuania to Poland, countries along NATO's eastern flank are on edge.  Moscow is pushing tensions to their highest point in years."
 
"In recent months, Lithuania and its Baltic neighbors, Estonia and Latvia, have reported a sharp rise in Russian drone activity, sometimes inside their airspace." 
 
"Russian drones have also crossed into Polish, German, Danish and even Belgian airspace."
 
Vladimir Putin is ramping up his hybrid warfare.

Russian Drones Test NATO's Eastern Border, Baltic States and Poland Brace for Escalation | CBN News
 
 
Cancelled Summit:
 
A recent summit planned between the U.S. and Russia to have taken place in Budapest, Hungary was cancelled "after a tense phone call between high-ranging diplomats of both countries."  Russia is demanding more territory from Ukraine as part of the ceasefire deal.  Following this, the U.S. cancelled a meeting between SOS Rubio and Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov.

Trump Cancels Planned Meeting with Putin in Budapest - ASEAN & Beyond En.tempo.co
 
Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov said he is willing to meet with SOS Rubio on the condition that Moscow's interests are taken into account.  Lavrov has accused European leaders of "trying to persuade Washington to abandon plans to resolve the crisis by political and diplomatic means and to focus entirely on military pressure on Russia."

Lavrov wants to meet with Rubio, but only on certain conditions
 
"US Secretary of State Marco Rubio has said that Washington has practically reached the limit in imposing new sanctions against Russia..."  He said that there is not a lot left to sanction.  Rubio said that Moscow wants the rest of Donetsk in a ceasefire deal.  Something Ukraine will no agree to.

Rubio: US has exhausted potential to tighten sanctions against Russia
 
So it looks like the U.S. and Russia are at an impasse.  The Europeans are still pushing for a full blown war with Russia.  And President Trump is hoping for diplomacy.  Ukraine, backed by the warmongers of Europe and the U.S. refuses to concede any land.  Neither side is backing down or giving in.
 
Both sides say they want peace...and then when that process begins to move forward, one side or the other or both carries out a major attack on the other.
 
"Russia has amplified its attacks on Ukraine despite insistence it is open to peace talks."
"Russia launched a blistering assault on Ukraine overnight, killing at least 6 people and injuring 35.  Some 430 drones and18 missiles targeted the country..."  The attack came two days after Lavrov indicated that Russia was "ready to resume direct talks with Ukraine on ending the war..."

Inside Putin’s campaign of terror in Kyiv: Why Russia keeps bombarding the capital | The Independent
 
"Ukraine struck a key oil terminal in the Russian port city of Novorossiysk overnight, causing infrastructure damage and igniting a blaze, as deadly overnight Russian strikes pounded Kyiv."  The depot was one of Russia's largest oil export facilities.

Ukraine attacks key Russian oil hub as deadly strikes pound Kyiv
 
This Just Adds to Fanning the Flames of War:
 
And then we have this article from November 13, 2025:
 
"Recent intelligence assessments show Vladimir Putin has no intention of reaching a peace deal with Ukraine, Britain's former spy chief said, confirming a view underpinning a harder line from the US and its allies."  In September, Richard Moore stepped down as head of MI6.  He said that intelligence from a few weeks ago shows Putin is "not ready to do a deal".  The UK has promised continuing military support for Ukraine while at the same time siding with Trump for a peace deal.  
 
Moore said that "Clearly Putin is trying to play with us.  He's an intelligence officer.  I recognize the type."  He said that China is watching our response to Putin closely - if they see 'weakness' they'll see that they can then move on Taiwan.  He believes the West needs to give Ukraine 'permission' to use long-range weapons as they see fit.  This would put more pressure on Putin.  And the UK "suspended some intelligence-sharing with the Us due to concern over the strikes."
 
Intel Shows Putin Not Ready for Ukraine Deal, Ex-MI6 Chief Says
 
Resume Nuclear Testing:
 
Then President Trump ordered nuclear testing after a 33 year 'pause'.  The Russians are waiting for a response as to what Trump means by this.  "And that if the United States resumes nuclear testing, Russia will too."  The last nuclear-arms-control treaty between Russia and the US expires in February 2026.
 
The U.S. Department of Energy Secretary Chris Wright, whose agency is responsible for testing nuclear weapons, has since clarified that the testing ordered by Trump will not involve nuclear explosions.  Instead, the testing involves all the other parts of a nuclear weapon to make sure they are functioning and can set up a nuclear blast."
 
Estimates put Russian nuclear warheads about around 5,460.  The U.S. has around 3,700.  Russia's advantage lies with their large number of tactical nuclear weapons - "have less explosive power and are designed for battlefield use."
 
If Trump resumes testing of nuclear weapons, Russia says it's going to do it too
 
In Conclusion:
 
The Europeans are definitely all for war with Russia.  They are preparing.  They don't like President Trump dragging his feet.  Putin has warned about the use of certain weapons being given and used by Ukraine - he would respond with a nuclear response.  Yet, it's the Europeans that are pushing for dropping the weapon restrictions. 
 
There is a fine line between too much pressure and too little pressure and as Rubio said, we are out of sanctions.  There is the idiom about 'the straw that broke the camel's back'.
 
So what will the West do?  President Trump has said repeatedly that he is running out of patience with Putin. 
 
We could be closer to all out confrontation with Russia than anyone thinks.  It would come suddenly and with no warning.
 
Pray for the peace of Jerusalem!
 
Maranatha!
 
Chance