Hello John and Doves,
In this letter I linked three
Youtube videos on the Deep Dive Defense channel. All
three are fairly short in length. The information they
present is daunting and shows how challenging an Israeli or
U.S. strike on Iran will be to bring about any effectual
change. And they are a real eye-opener as to how
advanced Iran is militarily with their tunnels, missile
cities, and their weapons.
We know that Iran is run by
Twelvers. I wrote a bit about their Mahdi and he is
brought back by an apocalypse.
And there are 'sleeper cells' in
the U.S. Is President Trump's travel ban that goes
into effect on June 9 his way of preventing more jihadis
entering into the country? Is this travel ban in
anticipation of an attack on Iran's nuclear facilities?
And the U.S. does not have a
proven capable anti-missile defense system for the
continental U.S. And Iran has ICBMs that can hit our
East Coast. Maybe even further inland.
The U.S. is ill-prepared for an
attack on the homeland by Iran - via sleeper cells and
ICBMs. I doubt Iran will just sit there and take a
pounding - they are Twelvers, after all.
Below are my notes on the high
points per video:
Iran's Tunnel Bases for
Missiles:
Iran's "Missile Cities" take
advantage of protective rock above tunnels. They are
located in Iran's mountainous terrain. Hard rock
geology or "overburden" provide protection in terms of
several hundred meters in thickness for Iran's missiles and
missile launchers and research facilities.
Bunker busting munitions are
designed for soil and not hard rock. Hard rock reduces
missile penetration by a factor of 10 or more. The
BGU-57, the most powerful bunker busting bomb in existence
is rated to penetrate about 70 meters of soil or 4 - 7
meters of hard rock overburden.
Iran has reinforced their tunnels
with steel-reinforced concrete (ultra high performance
concrete - UHPC) to further limit damage from
explosions/pressure/shockwaves from nuclear blasts.
Nuclear earth penetrators are
limited to subsonic air drop deliveries (via aircraft) and
can only achieve penetration of mere meters into hard
rock. Their destructive effect is primarily in their
over pressure and shock wave of a nuclear blast.
The use of 100s of kilotons
nuclear weapons is mitigated with tunnel complexes shielded
with hard rock and concrete and tunnels designed to take on
nuclear weapon hits.
Iran's tunnels are deep into the
ground with 300 to 600 meters of hard rock to shield
them. This leaves Iran's nuclear facilities
effectively immune to multiple strikes by tactical nuclear
weapons or nuclear penetrators.
This protection allows retaliation
by Iran. Entrances to tunnels are "ideally" positioned
within steep rock faces and cliffs, within 'pits'.
To counter the shockwaves of
nuclear blasts, the tunnels are designed with short shock
wave tunnels or "blast traps" the shock waves are channeled
into these deadend tunnels. There are also massive
blast-proof doors designed to withstand overpressure.
Iran's liquid fueled missiles are
safer than solid fuel missiles. All parts of the
nuclear missiles are housed in separate areas - so the war
heads are separate from the fuel which is separate from the
missiles, etc. Even the two different fuels are stored
in separate areas. This minimizes the risk of a
cascading detonation. This compartmentalized
architecture ensures that "even a successful breach would
not trigger systemic destruction of the complex."
Iran's missile city tunnel
networks span kilometers - the dirt and rock they dig up is
visible to spy satellites.
There are 2 to 6 highly hardened main entrances. These
cities contain excavation equipment inside the tunnels - so
this tunneling equipment can quickly create tunnels near
mountain edges to allow Transporter-Erector-Launcher (TEL)
vehicles to exit from the tunnels and deploy missiles, then
retreat and reload. This 'breakout' bore hole created
by the excavators for the TEL allows for launches to take
place over minutes. This rapid cycle, and random bore
holes for exit makes the missile cities launch capabilities
practically immune to disruption. The reaction time to
these launches can take 5 to 15 minutes - this isn't fast
enough to stop these missiles.
Iran's missile cities are
designed for rapid high-volume launches - they can launch
hundreds to thousands of ballistic missiles in days or
weeks through continuous salvos targeting its adversaries.
This time period is not enough for anyone to secure 'fire
control over facilities situated hundreds of kilometers
inside Iranian territory."
Iran could launch its entire
arsenal against targets before anyone could try to stop
them. Satellites could not detect these
exits/launchers fast enough to prevent launch.
"Iran's missile cities are
virtually invulnerable to a conventional U.S. military
campaign, let alone an Israeli operation, due to the
combination of their hardened nature, rapid launch
capacity and strategic depth."
"These facilities serve two
primary objectives - surviving initial conventional or
nuclear strikes while retaining operational capability,
and launching their entire missile inventory within a
compressed time frame, which disables the adversary's
ability to establish persistent fire control over the
base."
Iran has dozens of launchers and a
"vast medium-range ballistic missile arsenal capable of
striking targets across the Middle East, the missile cities
function as Iran's primary deterrent asset." Because
Iran's adversaries are reluctant to 'take on Iran' these
complexes provide a deterrent comparable to nuclear weapons
themselves."
And in this video, the title
says it all: "Iran's missile launch system is
nuclear-strike proof".
Back in 2020, Iran presented their
missile launch system. In the 1970s the U.S. came up
with a tunnel complex known as the "Hard-Tunnel Portal
launch concept", constructed deep within the heart of a
mountain to counter the next-generation heavy
intercontinental ballistic missile, the MX Peacekeeper -
this design was considered the 'most survivable missile
basing in the 1970s.' It was 'engineered to take on a
massive salvo of nuclear strikes while retaining assured
second-strike retaliation'. The cost for this was
prohibitive. So the U.S. abandoned this tunneling
plan. However, Iran liked the plan...
Iran publicized this tunnel in
order to deter U.S. military action. These missile
cities rely on mobile Transporter Erector Launchers (TELS)
which leave the tunnels via newly bored emergency exit holes
to launch missiles. These tunnels are more hardened
than typical ICBM silos.
Nuclear attacks on these
missile cities has been rendered somewhat impotent.
The Israeli Golden Horizon
air-launched ballistic missile equipped with a supersonic
glide vehicle, possess the range, speed, low radar and
thermal signature as well as maneuverability necessary to
evade" Iranian defenses. These can maneuver to strike
the exit bore holes or pits that are drilled into hard rock
and reinforced with UHPC .
Iran's missile cities have allowed
them to become a "near-invulnerable challenge to any
potential adversary."
run time 10:49
And this video - can Iran strike the U.S.?
In February 2025, Iran retrofitted
a Khorramshahr missile's first-stage with the compact Parvin
missile's second-stage engine which resulted in a "light
intercontinental-range ballistic missile". The
Khorramshah-2 and Parvin missiles went from a 2,000km
missile/3,000km missile to an "11,000km lightweight,
compact, ICBM, still capable of delivering a tactically
viable 400-kilogram conventional warhead.." This allows
for strikes against Iran's primary adversary - the
United States - "specifically targeting the U.S. East
Coast."
This modified missile is about 15
meters in length and weighs 20 tons and can be manufactured
at low cost. This allows for quantity
production. Thus a conventional armed ICBM as a global
strike weapon is economically viable. Iran has since come
out with a Khorramshahr-4 - it's been designed with an
attitude control system and has "thrusters for
exo-atmospheric trajectory changes to counter adversary
missile interceptors like the U.S. Standard Missile 3.
This attitude control system also enhances precision and
terminal velocity. Missiles like this "require a
re-entry vehicle heat shield surviving Mach 20 re-entry
velocity.
The Iranian missile cities could
launch these ICBMs "without modification, as their
infrastructure already accommodates liquid propellant
missiles with similar dimensions. The launchers in the
tunnels look to be designed for the Khoraamshahr missile
family.
"..Iran's investment in
the complex Portal-launch missile cites becomes well
explainable when viewed through the lens of enabling a
low-cost conventional-armed global-strike ICBM capability.
A nation capable of developing the Khorramshahr-4, a missile
of considerable technical sophistication, would logically be
capable to develop and pursue the hypothesized
Khorramshahr-3 ICBM, as the costs and developmental
challenges are very comparable. Furthermore, Iran's
status of a latent nuclear-power able to assemble a small
nuclear arsenal within days, amplifies the deterrent value
of the Portla-Launched light ICBM. The launch
complexes guarantee the survival of Iran's second-strike
capability even under the condition of full-scale nuclear
attack."
"When combined with an
intercontinental-reach conventions-strike ballistic-missile
with sufficient precision, their role at Iran's highest
available escalation level and the deterrence they create
becomes spectacularly clear."
Iran Can Construct 9 Nuclear Weapons in Two Weeks:
The IAEA has come out and said
that Iran has the capability of producing 9 nuclear warheads
in about two weeks time. But then the IAEA really has
no idea what Iran actually has in terms of enriched
uranium. And we know that Iran has hundreds of tons of
ballistic missile materials being shipped to them by
China. Along with components for the liquid
fuel. To arrive over the next few months....
Iran
Orders Material From China for Hundreds of Ballistic
Missiles
The Twelvers and Their
Mahdi:
The three above videos show the
daunting task ahead of the U.S. and Israeli military.
It's the Twelvers that are running Iran.
"Twelvers are the followers of the
12 imams they consider to be the only rightful successors of
the Prophet Muhammad..." The 12th Imam "will emerge
and bring peace and justice to the world, becoming the
ultimate savior of humankind."
"The majority of Twelvers - some
89%- reside in Iran today, with other large populations
existing...in Azerbaijan (60%), Bahrain (70%) and Iraq
(62%).
Twelver
Shiites, or Ithna Ashariyah
Muhammad al-Mahdi is "regarded by
Twelver Shia Muslims as the Mahdi, an eschatological
redeemer of Islam and the ultimate savior of
humankind...They believe Jesus will return
post-reappearance, following the Imam to eradicate
tyranny...The Mahdi is expected to reappear on a
Friday, speaking Arabic and possibly all
languages through divine aid."
The return of the Mahdi is "poised
to reshape the world in a cataclysm of violence and
subjugation...the Mahdi is prophesied to reappear
amidst global turmoil." The Mahdi will be
accompanied by Jesus Christ and together they "will unleash
a merciless crusade against the "infidels" - all who reject
Islam, including Christians, Jews, atheists, and
secularists." Their mission is to eradicate disbelief
"through unrelenting warfare, leaving no corner of the earth
untouched by their divine wrath."
"Their triumph will establish
Jerusalem as the epicenter of a global Islamic caliphate
from which Shariah law will govern with an iron fist,
enforcing a theocratic order that crushes all opposition and
reshapes civilization into a dystopian nightmare."
"This apocalyptic vision is not a distant
theological abstraction but a rallying cry for jihadist
groups like Al-Qaeda and ISIS, who actively work to hasten
the Mahdi's return through strategies as cunning as they
are horrifying."
The Apocalyptic Drive of
Islam:
"Far more terrifying is
the apocalyptic fanaticism of ISIS, whose hyper-violent
ideology seeks to ignite a global war to force the Mahdi's
return. Drawing from hadiths prophesying a
"great war" where Muslims confront the Dajjal - equated with
Western powers and Christians - ISIS believes that
sparking World War III will create the chaos necessary for
the Mahdi and Jesus to descent. Their
strategy is to provoke the West into an all-consuming
conflict through atrocities that shock the
conscience: beheadings broadcast on social media,
bombing in crowded markets and mass executions of
captives."
They call for 'lone-wolf' attacks
to "sow chaos, envisioning a world where nuclear arsenals,
cyberattacks, and biological weapons plunge humanity into a
dark age, ripe for the Mahdi's conquest."
Sleeper Cells In the U.S.:
We know there are sleeper cells
located across the U.S. - just waiting to be
activated. Is President Trump's recent travel ban
designed to prevent even more of these apocalyptic fanatics
into the U.S.? The timing of this travel ban is
suspicious as it goes into effect on Monday June 9 add this
to the announcement of Iran's coming shipments of hundreds
of tons of ballistic missile
"..the potential for these cells
to activate and carry out attacks presents a credible threat
to U.S. national security." (I think too much
manpower was put into J6 than taking care of Iran's sleeper
cells.) "The nuanced and growing threat of Iran to
U.S. National Security cannot be overstated. The
presence of sleeper cells, managed by Tehran's operatives,
within the U.S. underscores pressing need for
comprehensive counterterrorism strategies."
(Unfortunately, Biden and the
Democrats left the southern border wide open and did not
direct U.S. intelligence and law enforcement agencies to
focus on Iranian terrorists in the country.)
The Lord hasn't stopped this
movement towards all out war with Iran. Who will
strike first? And what about the sleeper cells in the
U.S.? Who will protect our critical infrastructure,
public venues, shopping malls, schools, etc. from
jihadis?
As for Iran having ICBMs that can
hit our East Coast - there are certainly enough targets
there and they could do great damage to the U.S. Also,
those ICBMs would be very difficult to shoot down.
President Trump has plans for a "Golden Dome" missile
defense system for the U.S. - but that may not be fully
operational before his term ends.
Figures. The U.S. has wasted
a lot of time, money and energy on protecting other
countries and little on protecting the continental
U.S. There will be a price to pay for this, no doubt.
Pray for the peace of Jerusalem!
Maranatha!
Chance
.