Randy (12 July 2012)
"Excellent Bit: Global Investors More Fearful NOW than in 2008"


http://finance.yahoo.com/blogs/breakout/global-investors-more-fearful-now-2008-post-lehman-121137118.html;_ylt=AthOt7D3j86ae0mzLqVjoO6iuYdG;_ylu=X3oDMTNyN2hlbTgwBG1pdANGUCBUb3AgU3RvcnkgTGVmdARwa2cDOWI3NGU4MDgtNjZlZC0zOWY5LWI0ZTQtMzAyOWY2YTlmNGFkBHBvcwMxBHNlYwN0b3Bfc3RvcnkEdmVyAzljZjFjNzcwLWNiNjItMTFlMS05ZGRmLTBjZjcyZWZlZjcwZg--;_ylg=X3oDMTFpNzk0NjhtBGludGwDdXMEbGFuZwNlbi11cwRwc3RhaWQDBHBzdGNhdANob21lBHB0A3NlY3Rpb25z;_ylv=3
 
INCREDIBLY.....this guy says "IF a Global Collapse does NOT occur, the stock market could be up 30-40% this year." 
 
WHAT????????  Oh, the optimism of Wall Street Guys!!  LOL......
 
QUOTES:
Are things really more scary out there today than they were 4 years ago?
"Around the world, the single narrative of collapse has taken hold," says Ed Dempsey, chief investment officer at Pension Partners. "Everyone is positioned for collapse."
and
Fear and pessimism are clearly in charge and on a roll right now. The recent string of weak jobs data, talk of recession, the fiscal cliff, and slowing growth in Europe and China are all adding to investor angst.
"I'm not saying that the event can't happen or it won't happen, I'm simply saying that bond investors are positioned as if it [the cataclysmic event] has already occurred, and therein lies the opportunity," Dempsey says, painting a scenario that could see the S&P 500 finishing the year with a 30-40% gain.
While Dempsey says it is clear that we are in the midst of a slowdown, and probably headed officially for recession by the 3rd or 4th quarter, the current climate is just not that threatening.
Context is King.
 
My Comments:    Hmmmmmm...........
The Current climate is just not that threatening....REALLY????  
 
So.....because EVERYONE is so scared of a BIG collapse......that makes this "an opportunity??"    lol.....
 
Even this guy says we are "probably headed for recession by the 3rd or 4th quarter!"
 
They tell us, as some of us know, that:
"What you may not know is that there are a dozen countries whose 10-year debt is yielding less than 2% right now, and that 7 of these are even lower than the U.S., including Switzerland, Japan, Hong Kong, Denmark, Germany, Sweden and Singapore"
 
THINK ABOUT THAT..........10 major countries in the world have their 10 year Government Debt/bonds with a yield BELOW 2% !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
 
WHY?    I've always said "You can't RAISE interest rates in a weak economy. Why?  You will KILL ANY CHANCE OF an economic recovery."  Well, with rates so LOW......they simply CANNOT go any LOWER......and if the economies of the world are already ON THE BRINK OF A BIG PROBLEM.......and rates are as low as they can go..... the ECONOMY JUST HAS TO get WORSE....and there is NO way left for the Governments to help.
 
Well, they can do another "Quantatitive Easing."  In the case of the US.....QE3.  But that just means printing MORE money....and spending MORE by the governement.
 
How has THAT worked so far for everyone???   Not good at all!!
 
I still say......
 
the dominos are ALL LINED UP....just waiting for WHAT to knock them all down?
 
THE RAPTURE!!  Will the Rapture happen yet in 2012????
 
I THINK SO...... go to "Why in 2012" and see "Why on Rosh Hashanah" too.....
 
http://www.2012roshhashanahrapture.com/why-in-2012.html
 
TICK TOCK....
YFIC,
Randy
 
PS...I'm IN the Investment Business......have been for the past 30 years.  And I've never seen people  so leary to invest.....in almost ANYTHING.....as they are now.  What they are saying is "I'm willing to get next to NOTHING on my money at the bank, in order to be assured of NOT LOSING ANY MONEY."
 
that is EXACTLY what people are saying now in France and Germany when they buy those country's shorter term bonds.  Those country's bonds are now yielding a NEGATIVE rate of return.  that means, if you invest $10,000 for 90 days, not only do you NOT get any interest.....you get back LESS than teh $10,000 you invest!
 
THIS INCREDIBLE event was taking place in the fall of 2008 in the days and weeks AFTER.. the Sept 2008 Banking Crisis in the USA. 
 
Hmmmm.......so, that same thing is taking place NOW in France and Germany.....and there hasn't even been a BIG CRASH YET, like the Lehman Brothers Failure that helped precipitate our crisis?   
 
Well, either everyone's expectation of a global Collapse is RIGHT......  or this guy in the video is right about a huge buying opportunity!!!
 
Personally....I think people are skeptical for the RIGHT REASONS!
 
Old quote:   "Something wicked this way comes...."