Randy (16 Jan 2013)
"Markets/Economy and
some other thougths...."
For the past 4 years (as an investment advisor) I have advocated
using THINGS WITH DIVIDENDS as an apporpriate investment
solution to a number of people.
Thus, instead of a GROWTH vehicle.....if there is NO
growth....at least there would be a dividend people could count
on.
Example: 1 person, $500,000.....objective: Maximize Income
with "respectable" principal stability.
Over the last 4 years, the dividend (income) to this person has
been around 6.5%--AS expected.
The principal (which one can NOT control) has driftred UP along
the way to a high of $530k and a low (18 months ago) of around $
460k. (Less than a 10% fluctuation......not bad.)
INCREDIBLY.....over the last 18 months....even this "simple"
dividend portfolio has come back to $500k and is now at almost
$510k.
While I am pleased at that performance....if you would have
asked me 18 months ago if the account would get BACK to $500k in
the next 12-18 months.....I would have said "I doubt it."
This portfolio IS STILL IN the MARKET.....NOT just bonds...and
NOT just stocks.....
My COMMENT: I am AZAMZED that the US market (as well
as other International Markets have come roaring back so well in
the last 18 months.....considering that NOTHING HAS BEEN
FIXED!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Geeez!!
So......as I watch and read early 2013 economic articles and
watch the markets......the markets seem to think that:
1) There are NO BIG Problems on the near-term horizon...no
matter what I THINK !! (ah, the market is ALWAYS ALWAYS
ALWAYS OPTIMISTIC!! And, incredibly, that optimism
over time has ALWAYS be more right than wrong, even if there are
sharp drops along the way. )
2) Apparently.....the markets in Euorpe are acting like "things
are getting fixed" over there...at leats for now. (??)
3) People are still concerned that China is "hiding" the "real"
economic story. (If so....ONE DAY, that will BLOW UP ON
THEM!! Article last week, that Mary Shapiro (former FDIC
chariman) was trying to get China to "come clean" with all of
the financial schananigans with bogus economic stuff on alot of
Chinese stocks that got listed on the US market and then
IMPLODED......losing many US investors ALOT of money.
(First time I'd heard about that!) My comment:
LET THE BUYER BEWARE!! If anyone thought that FINANCIAL
DISCLOSURE from a Chinese company wanting to be listed on the US
markets could be taken at FACE VALUE.....SHAME ON THEM!!!!
Investors deserved to lose money---- IT IS NOT A LEVEL PLAYING
FIELD when it comes to "disclosure." DUH!!!!
Why? Look at:
1) Is China's REAL GDP REALLY that high???? I think
the numbers are contrived..
2) Look at the Five Doves Post on Monday, again, about Chinese
GHOST Cities. IF the GDP # in China INCLUDES
THIS COonstruction activity (and I WILL BE IT DOES)... then that
is just ONE reason their GDP number is "made up!" This
just HAS TO COME to light one day...doesn't it??
Anyway......just venting....
I am AMAZED that "all is well" in the financial markets in light
of so much FUNNY ACCOUNTING going on in
1) the US with the Fed buying up so much in US Bonds...and then
REBATING the interest BACK to the Treasury
2) The US Debt just going up up up..
3) the US Government NOT DOING ANYTHING about SPENDING!
4) Europe is in a simlar mess.....more debt....more problems....
TICK TOCK.....
The dominoes are ALL LINED UP....
Just waiting for WHAT? to knock them all down?
the Rapture...
TICK TOCK......soon I hope....(I'm TIRED!!)
YFIC,
Randy
PS....... in spite of all this..... I'm having a GREAT
start to the New year. Weather in central Florida is
ABSOLUTELY PERFECT!!! Feels like March already!! Not
even 1 cold snap yet!! Being blessed with some travels in
the next 4 weeks..... some work, some
personal..... and I am very grateful for all of
this.... HOPE is IN THE AIR!!! Even IF there is NO
Rapture this year.
And yet...I know that MANY MANY People.......even strong
Christians are STILL having tough times....
some financially....
Some, with their health..
And......it just doesn't seem fair....I know...... but
then FAIR does NOT exist in THIS world...I know that.
But why them.....why not me?? How did I get lucky enough
to MISS the worst of these things? I don't have the
answer to that.....but all I can do is count my blessings each
and every day...
My neighbor and best friend is STILL trying to recover from
Acute Leukemia from way back last April. Now, after TWO
bone marrow transplants.....lots of chemo....etc, etc.
etc. things still look more than a little bleak. ($4
Million dollars later on the medical
costs!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!)
I'd like the Rapture just so HE and his family don't have to
continue this horrible recovery process..IF there even is one !!
??
Anyway..... in spite of all the agony out there......for
Christians and non-Christians.... life here...goes
on..... All I can do is the best I can.... leaning on God
every day....every week...every month...... until He Returns for
us, or calls me home.
IF the Rapture isn't soon.......it concerns me that one day my
own health will become an over -challenge..... Personally,
I am hoping for the Rapture before then.... tick tock.