Chance (11 Aug 2024)
"What Is Holding Back Iran?  Tisha B'Av Attack?"


 
Hello John and Doves,
 
For the last two weeks or so, we've seen news of an imminent massive attack by Iran on Israel, and Israel moving into Lebanon against Hezbollah and Israel 'pre-empting' Iran.  I've heard 'in hours', 'within 72 hours', 'by this weekend', 'in 2 days'. 'delayed until Thursday or Friday'...etc.  And nothing yet.  Many people waiting for this have expressed surprise that the times/days have come and gone.  .
 
Biden et al have been trying to line up ceasefire negotiations between Israel and Hamas - hoping for a meeting on August 15.  Israel may be interested.  Or maybe not as the Israeli Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich called the Biden cease-fire negotiations a "dangerous trap".  He believes this 'deal' is a "surrender" and that Israel should not release Palestinian prisoners for the hostages.  He has warned Netanyahu
White House condemns Israeli finance minister's remarks on cease-fire
 
I wouldn't trust the Biden deal either.  Jake Sullivan, the National Security Advisor, slammed Smotrich for his comments - saying he is wrong and is misleading the Israeli people.
 
After the top Hamas peace negotiator was assassinated in Tehran last week - the new Hamas guy is even more of a hardliner.  Hamas has yet to respond to the meeting.
 
So what is holding back this war?  Some think that Biden's stern 'no!' to Iran has deterred their retaliation against Israel.   
 
Iran's retaliation is pretty much a given...but maybe not the big 'attack' the world is waiting for:  "Iran says its response will be conducted "in a manner not to the detriment" of a Gaza cease-fire deal."
 
Iran said, "Our priority is to establish a lasting ceasefire in Gaza; any agreement accepted by Hamas will also be recognized by us..We have a legitimate right to self-defense - a matter totally unrelated to the Gaza ceasefire.  However, we hope that our response will be timed and conducted in a manner not to the detriment of the potential ceasefire."

Iran says Israel retaliation won't be to 'detriment' of Gaza cease-fire - Al-Monitor: The Middle Eastʼs leading independent news source since 2012
 
That doesn't sound like the Iran the world is use to.  Too civil.  Where are all the 'death to Israel', "vows of harsh punishment", 'the criminal and terrorist Zionist regime', 'duty to avenge his blood', etc.?
 
Are they trying to get Israel to let their guard down - maybe for a surprise, massive attack?
 
That sounds more like Iran.
 
Others are questioning Iran's 'toned down' statement also:  Airlines are being watchful - cancelled flights.  The IDF is still on high alert.  The U.S., Canada and other countries are 'pre-positioning' for possible evacuations from Lebanon, Israel...

Airlines extend Israel flight suspensions amid ongoing military uncertainty | The Times of Israel
 
"Israeli Defense Forces stand ready to deploy their "full military capability.."
Israel on brink of launching all-out war with Iran 'within hours' as expert issues major warning
 
And many are looking at the upcoming day of Tisha B'Av - 
 
"Iran along with its proxies is reportedly planning to launch their retaliatory strike against Israel on August 12 - 13.  Tehran has decided to respond to Hamas' chief Ismail Haniyeh's assassination on Tisha B'Av as per Western intelligence sources told Sky News Arabia."
 
Israel's Countdown Begin? Iran's Attack To Avenge Haniyeh's Death On Tisha B’Av? IDF Ready To Fight?
 
"The ninth day of the Hebrew month of av, which starts Tuesday night, is marked by fasting to commemorate the destruction of two Jerusalem temples...
‘Beware of Tisha B’Av’: Will Iran Attack Israel Next Tuesday? | The New York Sun
 
Tisha B'av is Monday/Tuesday. August 12/13.  Or 13/14 per above link.
 
The obvious answer to Christians is God is holding this back.  And it must be for a specific date/day.
 
Pray for the peace of Jerusalem!
 
Maranatha~
 
Chance