Chance (11 Apr 2021)
"Russia-Ukraine Conflict"


 
Dear John and Doves,

The MSM isn't spending much time with this escalating conflict between Russia and Ukraine.
"Ukraine and Russia may be on the brink of war - with dire consequences for the whole of Eurasia.....On March 24, Ukrainian President Zelensky, for all practical purposes, signed a declaration of war against Russia...ordering the retaking of Crimea from Russia.  So Ukraine began moving tanks, military equipment, drones, electronic warfare systems, anti-tank and anti-missile systems, etc. east towards Russia.
 
So Putin responded:
 
Military build up in Crimea and Eastern Ukraine/Donbass.
 
Russia has moved its 9K33 Osa anti-aircraft missile system into Crimea.  This is a short-range tactical surface-to-air missile system.  It is highly mobile.  These are all-in-one "transporter erector launcher and radar vehicles which can detect, track and engage aircraft independently or with the air of regimental surveillance radar."  The engagement range is max of 9 miles and the altitude engagement range is up 42,500 ft.   They can take out jet aircraft and helicopters. 9K33 Osa | Military Wiki | Fandom
 
Russia's Isklander short-range ballistic missile systems are now within range of Ukraine.  Russia is sending several warships to the Black Sea...along the coast of Ukraine.
 
Russia has some 100,000 troops at the Ukraine border.  "It is feared that within days more than 95,000 troops, backed by tanks, armoured vehicles, artillery and even thermobaric rocket batteries will be ready to invade....the entire region has been buzzed by Moscow's surveillance drones, indicating Moscow is trying to find weak points....Russian troops have also been equipped with sophisticated river-crossing bridge-engineering equipment, further fueling alarm that they may be poised to invade at multiple points.  Spetsnaz special forces and a large number of elite paratroopers are among the infantry units now massing at the Ukraine border having been sent from all over Russia." 
WAR - trouble brewing again in ukraine | Page 32 | Timebomb 2000
 
"While Russia's intentions are still unclear, this movement stands out as possibly the largest unannounced movement of troops since Russia's invasion of Crimea and eastern Ukraine in 2015." 
Russian Ground Troop Units and Iskander ballistic missiles identified at Ukrainian border by Janes
 
Russia is referring to this deployment to the border of Ukraine as "exercises'.
 
Ukraine responded:
 
Moving even more military and equipment:
 
Ukraine has moved its OTR-21 Tochak ballistic missiles to confront Russia.  These are short to mid-range missiles.  The warheads can be chemical, nuclear, EMP, or 'fragmentation and submunition'.  "The system is also designed to provide tactical nuclear support on the battlefield." 
SS-21 (OTR-21 Tochka) | Missile Threat
 
"Tens of thousands of Ukrainian troops - including reservists - have been called up to the border and US advisers are believed to be "in country", according to sources.
Russia-Ukraine crisis could explode into war in days as UK commanders on 'high alert' - Mirror Online

Kiev is reporting some 85,000 Russian troops within 6 to 25 miles of Ukraine's border.
 
There are reports of Tu-22M3 Backfire bombers being deployed to Crimea.  "Most dangerous Russian bombers to ever fly....Some can drop nukes.  Others can kill a navy." 
Bombs Away: 4 Most Dangerous Russian Bombers to Ever Fly | The National Interest
 
 
So what is the time line for war breaking out between Ukraine and Russia?
 
I am seeing three to four weeks, mid-May to "all-out-war within days".  "And American intelligence assessments grade the threat of a major Russia-Ukraine flare-up as "potential imminent crisis" as stated by their European operations centre EUCOM."
Russia-Ukraine crisis could explode into war in days as UK commanders on 'high alert' - Mirror Online

The Kremlin warned on Friday, April 9, "full-scale military activities" could occur in eastern Ukraine...."
Russia Threatens ‘Full-Scale Military Activities’ in East Ukraine
 
What is the U.S. doing?
 
Biden, of course, is backing Ukraine.  He might be able to get Hunter another job with a corrupt Ukrainian company and make many more millions.
 
Warmongers in D.C. have been pushing for war with Russia for years.  I remember when Hillary was running against Trump back in 2016, the news continually told us "when Hillary is elected she'll start a war with Russia." Hmmm.  There is a whole lot of Russiaphobia in D.C.~
 
The U.S. is sending two warships to the Black Sea to help Ukraine. 
US sending two warships to Black Sea as Russia builds up forces in Ukraine
 
U.S. Global Hawk drones have been monitoring the Russian movements in Crimea, Donbass, the Black Sea coast....
 
The U.S. Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin is to meet in mid-April with U.S. allies in Israel, Germany, NATO headquarters in Brussels and the United Kingdom.  I do not know much about our Secretary of Defense, Austin, but I know that our Secretary of State, Blinken, was slammed by the Chinese not that long ago.  He seems pretty incompetent.
 
Russia has asked the U.S. to not escalate the situation.
 
Putin isn't backing down - ignoring 'requests' to pull his troops off the Ukraine border.  Ukraine says they are not backing down either. 
 
Looks like this whole thing is being manipulated by 'someone'.... of course
 
The top Russian analyst of Ukraine, Rostislav Ischenko, said ..."the Americans do not give a damn whether Ukraine will hold out for any time or whether it will be blown to pieces in an instant.  They believe they stand to gain from either outcome."....."the overall diplomatic, military, political, financial and economic situation powerfully requires the Kiev authorities to intensify combat operations in Donbass."  If Kiev launched a blitzkrieg against the Russians, "in what would be a matter of 8 hours or a maximum 48 hours, Russian forces would smash the whole blitzkrieg apparatus to smithereens and send the Ukrainians back to their sandbox...." 
Escobar: Ukraine Redux - War, Russophobia, & Pipelineistan | ZeroHedge
 
Looks like Turkey is supporting Ukraine in all of this.
 
The big fear is that any war between Ukraine and Russia will spread. Will NATO get involved?  Will the U.S.?  Will Turkey?  Maybe China would use this as an opportunity to move on Taiwan.  
 
As of 4/10/2021 this situation is still escalating~  
 
The timeline for war is any time from now to Mid May.  As of now.
 
Pray for the peace of Jerusalem!
 
Maranatha!
 
Chance