Tom (4
Apr 2013)
"To Melissa C Are we
Provoking N Korea"
Melissa: Some weeks ago I replied to Randy's thinking outside
the box, I wrote about N Korea having the technology to reach N
America with EMP weapons. Strange that yesterday there
were reports that the US Gov has the same concerns? Not really,
they knew all along. I also wrote back to Gino about
the speed at which this could all happen but the reply did not
make it on the forum for some reason. (I think I forgot to
sign my name) regardless.
Some thoughts on the current situation that you might find
frightening. For decades the US and South Korea have
isolated the north and fortified themselves against the
North. It has worked well up to this point. In the last
several weeks we have seen an escalation in the reported
movements of strategic weapons platforms. B52, Nuc Sub,
B2, F22 and lastly thus far a Destroyer Group. The
question we are taught to ask in staff college is why, what has
changed, what could this mean.
The why is straightforward, something has changed with N Korea's
capability, there is more threat than planned for. Or the
nature of the threat has changed for example the old model was
that the north would send conventional forces through the
DMZ. Now the new model is a robust missile attack.
which leads me to hypothesize that there is more of a missile
threat than expected. The destroyer group has integrated
Anti-Missile technology to counter missiles after they have been
launched and robust surface to surface Cruise Missile weapons to
neutralize the launch sites. The other advantage of the
destroyer group is reaction time, from the moment a launch is
detected to activation of countermeasures is measured in minutes
vice hours as with the other strategic weapons platforms. (Nuc
Sub excluded but they have a relatively low number of cruise
missiles, their main weapon is nuclear )
So what is up with china? One of the few friends N Korea
has yet they have put a large number of troops on alert and done
some shifting around. Again Why? I can think of two
reasons why and one why not. One they are concerned about
refugees, if there is a major outbreak in hostilities nuclear or
conventional people are going to want to put as much space as
they can between their families and the fighting. They
can't go south they can only go north to China. The second
reason would be defection of N Korean Military units, Remember
the first Gulf War, whole unites surrendered on mass. It
happens with conscript armies...a lot. But they won't just
run away they will take their tanks and APC's with them and
China will need a force to meet and disarm them to maintain
order. They are not planning on invading North
Korea. It is likely a containment policy only.
So are we provoking them? I would argue that the real
provocation was done at the UN with the addition of new
sanctions. But what do I know?
Also I wrote previously that the connection between N Korea and
Iran is documented to death so of course this is part of a
greater plan. You can't take out a superpower like the US
on one front alone. Multiple targets from multiple
weapons, synchronized to create the desired effect.
Do not be dismayed God has a plan you are part of it. Stay
the course, Hold the line, Victory is at hand.
Tom