"Are you gonna be safe Homer? Bible Prophecy being fulfilled 'right under our nose'."
In my February 2011 post, I wrote Resources, Resources, Resources, it's the have's verses the have-nots.The Alignment of Nations in End-Time Prophecy can all be traced back to those resources.Now the exploitation of those resources leads to war. And what comes from that Mideast War is a Mediator of the European Neighborhood Policy seeking to restore the World's Economy.Is Turkey Going Rogue
ISLAMISTS WITHOUT BRAKES 10/03/11
When four out of five of the Turkish chiefs of staff abruptly resigned on July 29, 2011, they signaled the effective end of the republic founded in 1923 by Kemal Atatürk. A second republic headed by Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and his Islamist colleagues of the AK Party (AKP) began that day. The military safely under their control, AKP ideologues now enjoy can pursue their ambitions to create an Islamic order.
AN EVEN WORSE OPPOSITION
Ironically, secular Turks tend to be more anti-Western than the AKP. The two other parties in parliament, the CHP and MHP, condemn the AKP’s more enlightened policies, such as its approach to Syria and its stationing a NATO radar system.
LOOMING ECONOMIC COLLAPSE
Turkey faces a credit crunch, one largely ignored in light of crises in Greece and elsewhere. As analyst David Goldman points out, Erdoğan and the AKP took the country on a financial binge: Bank credit ballooned while the current account deficit soared, reaching unsustainable levels. The party’s patronage machine borrowed massive amounts of short-term debt to finance a consumption bubble that effectively bought it the June 2011 elections. Goldman calls Erdoğan a “Third World strongman” and compares Turkey today with Mexico in 1994 or Argentina in 2000, “where a brief boom financed by short-term foreign capital flows led to currency devaluation and a deep economic slump.”
ASSERTING RIGHTS OVER MEDITERRANEAN ENERGY RESERVES
Companies operating out of Israel discovered potentially immense gas and oil reserves in the Leviathan field and other fields located between Israel, Lebanon, and Cyprus. When the government of Cyprus announced its plans to drill, Erdoğan responded with threats to send Turkish “frigates, gunboats and . . . air force.” This dispute, just in its infancy, contains the potential elements of a huge crisis. Already, Moscow has sent submarines in solidarity with Cyprus.
OTHER INTERNATIONAL PROBLEMS
Ankara threatens to freeze relations with the European Union in July 2012, when Cyprus assumes the rotating presidency. Turkish forces have seized a Syrian arms freighter. Turkish threats to invade northern Iraq have worsened relations with Baghdad. Turkish and Iranian regimes may share an Islamist outlook and an anti-Kurd agenda, with prospering trade relations, but their historic rivalry, contrary governing styles, and competing ambitions have soured relations.
Noble Energy Provides Update on Eastern Mediterranean Drilling Schedule
September 27, 2011Noble Energy, Inc. (NYSE: NBL) announced today it has revised drilling plans for the three deepwater rigs it has under contract in the offshore Eastern Mediterranean.The Company has moved the Homer Ferrington to Block 12 offshore Cyprus, where it is drilling the Cyprus A prospect. Once finished with Cyprus A, the rig will relocate back to Israel.Those Energy resources will prove criticalToday 10/03/11, was the original target for approving an 8 billion-euro ($11 billion) loan payment to Greece, the sixth installment of a 110 billion-euro lifeline put together in May 2010. The decision was pushed back until mid-October as Greece seeks to repair its finances.The Greek government said yesterday it approved 6.6 billion euros of austerity measures.Greece is set to send F16 fighter aircraft to Israel in mid-October for joint exercises with Israeli F-16 squadrons, says a report on Defencenet.gr. The combined force of the two air forces would create a 'steel vise' in the Eastern Mediterranean to act as a deterrent to any military threats from Turkey, said an analyst. Meanwhile, Ankara said it has sent more frigates to patrol the area off Cyprus' coast.New battle over Mediterranean gas10/01/11The Middle East has moved north, with the Mediterranean emerging as home to some of the world's richest deposits of energy. And as in the Middle East, rights to resources will be settled less by law than by force, or by the threat of force.Much of the conflict involves the island nation of Cyprus, situated in the eastern Mediterranean close to Turkey to the north, Israel to the south, and Greece, its cultural cousin, farther to the west. The 200-kilometer stretch of sea between Cyprus and Israel - believed to hold hundreds of billions of dollars worth of hydrocarbons - is now a checkerboard of prospective drilling sites that have begun to be exploited by Israeli, Cypriot and American oil and gas companies.
These companies and their three governments have no intractable(unmanageable) conflicts with each other - in fact, they're developing their resources in close co-operation. Neither does Greece, which stands to become a major European hub for these energy finds, and longs to develop resources of its own in Greek waters to the west of Cyprus. According to a study for Economist Conferences, a business unit of The Economist, Greece could eradicate its debt by exploiting its Mediterranean hydrocarbons.
The spoiler in the Greek-Cypriot-Israeli plans to exploit the Mediterranean is Turkey, which in the 1970s invaded and seized the northern part of Cyprus, which since the 1980s has threatened Greece, and which in recent years has become belligerent towards Israel.
Turkey disputes Cyprus's rights to develop what's known as its Exclusive Economic Zone - a designation under the United Nations Law of the Sea that grants offshore rights to signatories of up to 200 nautical miles. Turkey claims that the residents of what is now Northern Cyprus - officially the Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus, a state no country but Turkey recognizes - are entitled to a share of the spoils of the waters off the south part of the island.
To further muddy the waters, Turkey is the only country in the world that doesn't recognize the state of Cyprus, an EU member, and Turkey has not signed the Law of the Sea treaty. To demonstrate its seriousness, Turkey often characterizes Cyprus drilling in bellicose terms such as "provocation" and "madness," deploys war ships and jet fighters to the area, and engages in retaliatory gas exploration off the south coast of Cyprus.
Turkey's relations with Greece are no less complicated, or confrontational. Although Greece signed the Law of the Sea treaty almost three decades ago, and has been entitled to claim an Exclusive Economic Zone in the Mediterranean ever since, Turkey threatened war if it did so.
As a result, an intimidated Greece - Turkey's million-man army is the Middle East's largest - has refrained from developing its offshore resources, which are believed to include major oil deposits as well as natural gas.
Turkey, meanwhile, has been exploring in Greek waters, and, to everyone's surprise, claimed sovereignty over Gavdos, a tiny Greek island near the major Greek island of Crete and far from the Turkish mainland. Turkish Possession of Gavdos, population 98, would transfer much of Greece's Exclusive Economic Zone to Turkey.
Enter Israel, whose massive energy finds in its own Exclusive Economic Zone made it Greece's answer to Turkish force. Greek leaders instantly recognized that Israel would want to export its gas to European markets through Greece, and that Israel's military is strong enough to give Turkey pause. Quicker than they could say "Eureka!," the Greeks and Israelis began defense talks, culminating in the deployment of a mutual defense pact in September.
The Greeks, meanwhile, have been sufficiently emboldened to announce that they will soon be establishing an Exclusive Economic Zone in the Mediterranean. Even without a formal Greek announcement, however, a de facto Exclusive Economic Zone is in place, as seen in Israel's published map of a proposed Israel to Cyprus to Greece natural gas pipeline. This pipe-line, which follows a route within delineated Greek and Cypriot Exclusive Economic Zones, will carry Israeli and Cypriot gas to Greece(1) and then to markets in Italy(2) and Germany(3).
Although terms of the IsraeliGreek mutual defense pact are not public, it would surely envisage protection for Cyprus, with whom they have an economic alliance. To underline this point, Israel this week reportedly sent low-flying jets and helicopters over Turkish ships exploring Cypriot waters. For good measure, Israeli jets also flew over North Cyprus, despite warnings not to.
None of this sits well with Turkey. It is not only seeing its dominance over Greece and the eastern Mediterranean challenged but also its plans to control much of Europe's natural gas supply - before the pipeline through Greece materialized, Turkey saw itself as a gas gateway through which Iranian and Central Asian gas would reach Europe, a position that would have given it leverage in its long-held desire to be accepted in the European Union. Turkish pride at being trumped by Greeks and Israelis is also at stake.
Will Turkey resort to force to obtain what it views as its right? Not likely, assuming an incident doesn't spark an unintended war in the Middle East tinderbox. Last week, the European Parliament issued a press release condemning the Turkish government for its threats against Cyprus, and the previous week U.S. Secretary of State Hilary Clinton and Russian foreign minister Sergey Lavrov warned Turkey to tone down its belligerence. To punctuate the message, Russia also sent two nuclear-powered submarines to the eastern Mediterranean as its way of tamping down Turkish aggression.
Kittim (Chittim) And the Book of Daniel by Wayne Blank"For ships of Kittim shall come against him, and he shall be afraid and withdraw, and shall turn back and be enraged and take action against the holy covenant. He shall turn back and give heed to those who forsake the holy covenant. Forces from him shall appear and profane the Temple and fortress, and shall take away the continual burnt offering. And they shall set up the abomination that makes desolate. He shall seduce with flattery those who violate the covenant; but the people who know their God shall stand firm and take action." (Daniel 11:30-32 RSV) (see The Abomination of Desolation and Prophecy)
Cyprus, from the Greek word pronounced kupros, meaning copper, is a prominent land mass in the northeastern Mediterranean Sea, off the shores of Cilicia (southern Turkey) and Syria on the continent. Measuring about 150 miles / 240 kilometers long and 40 miles / 65 kilometers wide, it is one of the largest islands in the Mediterranean.
The history of Cyprus reaches deep into ancient times. Although the pagans regarded it as the birthplace of their non-existent false god Zeus, Cyprus was the scene of numerous events in Bible History, where some Bible translations refer to it by the name Isles of Chittim or Kittim. As the above Scriptures from Daniel specify, Kittim is also a place involved in end-time prophecy.
As its name indicates, Cyprus has extensive copper deposits which attracted many conquerers to the island over the past 3,000 years. In their turn, Egyptians (see The Ancient Egyptians), Assyrians (see Ancient Empires - Assyria), Phoenicians, Hittites, Greeks (see Ancient Empires - Greece), Romans (see Ancient Empires - Rome), and in more modern times, Turks and British all controlled the island to some degree. It was also taken during the third Crusade (see The Crusades).
During Old Testament times, many Jews had already settled on the island, and many of their descendants were converted by Paul and those associated with him during his travels (see Paul's First Missionary Journey andPaul's Second Missionary Journey andPaul's Third Missionary Journey).
Paul's group travelled from Salamis to Paphos on the island, and while at Paphos, Sergius Paulus, the Roman governor of Cyprus became a believer in Jesus Christ (Acts 13:7,12), despite the efforts of Elymas the sorcerer to prevent his conversion. For his wickedness, Elymas was temporarily deprived of his sight by Paul (Acts 13:7-11). Barnabas and Mark were later active there after they separated from Paul (Acts 15:36-39). The Jews and converted Christians were expelled from the island during the reign of emperor Hadrian (reigned 117-138 AD
Leading European Economies at High Risk for Energy Security 06/03/11
An evaluation of worldwide energy security has identified the economies of France, Germany, Italy and the UK as being at ‘high risk’ in the short-term.
Risk analysis and mapping firm Maplecroft undertook the study to highlight the risks to countries as they strive to secure stable energy supplies in a time of geopolitical upheaval, dwindling traditional resources and a transition to a low carbon world.
The Energy Security (short-term) Index has been developed by Maplecroft to identify the countries most vulnerable to shocks in energy supplies and price fluctuations in the international market on timescale of days to months. It assesses immediate risks to the availability, affordability and continuity of energy supplies in 196 countries by evaluating energy imports, diversity of supplies, import security and energy costs.
Only three countries, Sierra Leone (1), Gambia (2) and Guinea Bissau (3), are categorised as ‘extreme risk’ in the short-term index. However, a further 122 nations are rated ‘high risk,’ including the G7 economies of Italy (13), Japan (73), UK (90), Germany (104), France (107) and the USA (112).
Maplecroft categorised Russia (192) and Norway (190) as ‘low risk,’ reflecting the fact that the two nations are net exporter of electricity and fossil fuels, with abundant natural resources and a diverse energy mix, which provides flexibility and offsets the risks of price rises.
With the Israeli-Cypriot gas funneled to Greece, Italy, and Germany that would solve their Energy needs and sharply influx their budgetary outlooks. Those three would seem to be Pro-Israel.
I'm just thinkin' out loud on that one, but I'm curious.
October 2011 (United States)
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The Final Days of Sukkot:
Shemini Atzeret & Simchat Torah