John Keebaugh
(6
June 2011)
"regarding Jim Goodrick and
CNS News article about China"
The CNS News article says:
“In August 2008, before the bank bailout and the stimulus law, overall
Chinese holdings of U.S. debt stood at $573.7 billion. That number
continued to escalate past May 2009-- when China started to reduce its
holdings in short-term Treasury bills--and ultimately peaked at $1.1753
trillion last October.
As of March 2011, overall Chinese holdings of U.S. debt had decreased
to 1.1449 trillion.”
So let’s do the math.
Peak value of US Treasuries held by China: 1.1753 trillion dollars in
October 2010
Last reported value of US Treasuries held by China: 1.1449 trillion
dollars in March 2011
Amount changed between Oct 2010 and March 2011: 1.1753 trillion –
1.1449 trillion = 0.0304 trillion
Percentages:
Peak amount: 100% = the October 2010 value of 1.1753
Amount stilled owned: 97.4% of peak = March 2011 value / Oct 2010 value
(or 1.1449 / 1.1753)
Amount of decrease: 100% - 97.4% = 2.6% (or: 0.0304 / 1.1753 = 2.6%)
Someone at CNS News really goofed:
“At the end of March 2011, by which time the Chinese had dropped their
Treasury bill holdings 97 percent from their peak, the publicly
marketable segment of the U.S. national debt had almost doubled from
August 2008, hitting $9.11 trillion.”
China did not decrease its holdings by 97%, it decreased its holdings
by 2.6% to 97.4%. A very different story than the one written.
While a downward trends in US Treasuries is apparent, it should be
viewed as prudent financial management by China (reducing reliance on a
single revenue source; decrease debt holdings from a customer entering
financial difficulty). I suggest, if Doves wish to reduce the country’s
reliance on China’s future largesse, that they slow or eliminate
purchasing products made in China and actively lobby retail
organizations to offer products manufactured elsewhere, preferably in
the United States.
Thanks!
John Keebaugh