Jerry Grenough (2
Feb 2006)
"Outcome of the Iranian Oil
Bourse"
Thanks, Donna & others for your kind comments.
In a nutshell:
It's highly probable that sometime in 2006, barring a
change in government in Iran, the effect of the Iranian Oil Bourse would
be that oil-consuming nations would have to flush dollars out of their
(central bank) reserve funds and replace these with euros. The dollar would
crash anywhere from 20-40% in value You’d have foreign funds stream out
of the U.S. stock markets and dollar denominated assets, there’d possibly
be a run on the banks, a housing crash affecting 50-75% of the current
bubble, the current account deficit would become unserviceable, the budget
deficit would go into default, and so on. Your basic Third World economic
crisis scenario.
jerry grenough
gtgrenough@earthlink.net