Could this be the future BEAST: Adel Abdul Mahdi

Al Mahdi?

 

Profile of Abdel Abdul Mahdi

2/10/2005

Adel Abdul Mahdi, one of the leading candidates to become the new Iraqi prime minister, recalled the day last year when he and other Iraqi leaders were summoned to the holy city of Najaf by the country’s senior Shiite clerics.

The topic was the role of Islam in the new Iraqi state. Grand Ayatollah Ali al-Sistani, the country’s most powerful Shiite leader, questioned whether Mr. Mahdi and the others, members of the American-appointed Iraqi Governing Council, had the legitimacy to draft an interim constitution.

"You were not elected," Ayatollah Sistani told the group.

Mr. Mahdi says he did not hesitate to answer.

"You were not elected," he told the ayatollah.

With that, Mr. Mahdi and the others returned to the capital and drafted an interim constitution intended to govern Iraqi for the next year, naming Islam as a source, but not the only source, of legislation. The language bridged one of the most divisive issues in forming the new government, whether it should be secular or religious.

Mr. Mahdi, one of the leaders of the United Iraqi Alliance, the Shiite coalition on the verge of capturing a majority of seats in the national assembly, recalled the moment to illustrate the limitations of the Shiite clerics in political affairs here.

"Victory is the most dangerous moment," Mr. Mahdi, 63, said in an interview at his home in
Baghdad this week. "There will be some people trying to push for extreme measures. If we start with such behavior, we will lose the country."

Mr. Mahdi, a witty, affable, French-trained economist who serves as the finance minister in the current government, personifies a strong secular current that runs through the alliance. That strand is likely to resist demands for an Iranian-style Islamic state, where ultimate power resides with clerics, political rights are limited and women face harsh restrictions.

The question for Iraqis, as well as the Bush administration, is whether Mr. Mahdi’s secular vision extends to the rest of the Shiite alliance, or whether it is being used as cover for a more ambitious religious agenda.

The leaders of the Shiite alliance have said the new Iraqi government, if they end up with enough votes to form it, will be headed by a secular figure. Fewer than a half dozen of the alliance’s 228 candidates are clerics. And a likely alliance with the Kurdish parties, which are secular, could blunt the Islamists.

Still, many Iraqis say Mr. Mahdi, secular-minded though he is, would be under fierce pressure from
Iraq’s clerical establishment to accord Islam an expansive role in the permanent Iraqi constitution the national assembly is to write this year.

He is thought to be an attractive candidate to the Americans. He has worked closely with the Bush administration, and helped renegotiate
Iraq’s foreign debt. Like many Iraqi leaders, including even many of the clerics themselves, he takes a cold-eyed view of the need for American troops to stay in the country until Iraqi security forces are strong enough to defeat the guerrilla insurgency on their own.

Mr. Mahdi’s conversion from young Baath Party member to Maoist cadre to pro-American Islamic moderate is emblematic of the journey taken by many intellectuals who came of age in the 1960’s, swept up in the left-wing currents of the time, only turn back to the faith into which they were born.

Yet in all of his transformations, there is, to his rivals, the whiff of the opportunist. Far from being devoutly religious himself, they say, Mr. Mahdi is a secular man who attached himself to a largely Islamist group to get closer to power, and by so doing made that group more acceptable to the outside word.

Within the wider world of Iraqi Shiites, a struggle for influence in the new government has already begun. Earlier this week, Ayatollah Muhammad Eshaq al-Faeath, one of five ayatollahs who make up the senior Shiite religious leadership here, publicly demanded that Islam be named as the "only" source of legislation, a feature that would probably render
Iraq an Islamic state. Others are demanding that family and personal relations be regulated by Koranic law.

"He will be under pressure on the power of religion in the state," said Adnan Pachachi, a secular Sunni leader, referring to Mr. Mahdi. "But if he gets the job, it will actually help him resist the pressure."

Even those Iraqis, like Mr. Pachachi, who are convinced of Mr. Mahdi’s relatively secular mind-set say they are concerned that he could end up becoming a pawn of Abdul Aziz Hakim, the leader of his party, the Supreme Council for the Islamic Revolution in
Iraq, known as Sciri.

The steely-eyed Mr. Hakim, the former leader of the party’s military wing who is believed to have close connections to Iranian intelligence agencies, is the scion of one of the most prominent Shiite religious families in
Iraq. He is said to favor a broader role for Islam in the new constitution.

"Hakim has decided that he can realize his ambitions through Adel Abdul Mahdi," said Adnan Ali, a senior leader in the Dawa Party, a member of the Shiite alliance, which supports a different candidate for prime minister.

Who will become prime minister is expected to be one of the most hard-fought battles after election results are in, and with the vote-counting nearing completion, the political deal making has already begun.

For Mr. Mahdi to arrive at the spot where he is now is perhaps not as surprising as the path that he took to get there. He comes from a family active in politics; his father, Abdul Mahdi Shobar, was a guerrilla leader against the British in 1920 and later became a minister of education during the monarchy of King Faisal. He is a boyhood playmate of Ahmad Chalabi, a rival for the job of prime minister, and Ayad Allawi, who now holds the post.

Mr. Mahdi said he joined the Baath Party when it was largely a youth movement, and was even an acquaintance of the future leader, Saddam Hussein, who at the time, he said, worked in the party’s Peasant Division.

Mr. Mahdi said he had joined out of a romantic attraction to the ideals of Arab nationalism and socialist economics, but quit the party in the 1960’s, after it came to power and when, he said, its leaders began killing and imprisoning political opponents.

"When we saw the experience of blood, torture, executions, killings, we were shocked," he said, then turning to an Arab proverb to describe the party: "The fish was rotten from the head."

After the ouster of the Baath Party from its first stint in power in 1963, Mr. Mahdi was arrested, jailed and tortured; his jailers, he said, used pliers to pull chunks of flesh from his thighs. Five years later, as the Baath Party prepared to return to power and begin its 34-year reign of terror, he fled the country, tipped off that he was a target for execution.

Ending up in France, where he earned master’s degrees in political science and economics, he said he embraced Marxism, and especially the brand espoused by Mao, which Mr. Mahdi said he found appealing for its emphasis on popular participation.

Yet even in his years as a follower of Mao, he said he never abandoned his Islamic faith.

"We weren’t of those people who were trying to defy religion, trying to defy their family," he said of his youthful philosophical detours.

Like many Iraqis, Mr. Mahdi was inspired by the Iranian revolution of 1979, which appeared as a model for
Iraq’s long-suppressed Shiite majority and a real-life example of an Islamic-guided government. He and many other Iraqi Shiites in exile, including Mr. Hakim, began using Iran as a base to organize against Mr. Hussein’s government. The two men were both founders of Sciri in the 1980’s.

American officials say Sciri continues to receive support from the Iranian government, and the party’s relationship to
Iran has given rise to concerns, in the United States and in Iraq, about the movement’s independence.

As the Iranian revolution transformed into a theocracy, it alienated many Iraqi Shiites, some of whom rejected it as a model for
Iraq. Mr. Mahdi is tempered in his criticism of the Iranian government

"They have to be more open," he said. But he professes a vision of political Islam that is substantially more mild than the Iranian variety.

To Mr. Mahdi, the Shiite religious hierarchy has an important role in leading the country, but he says the religious leadership has to make way for democratic politics, in contrast to the Iranian model.

"We accept the role of the religious leadership," he said. "They are part of society. People respect them. They have a natural part. But this natural part should not stop the nation from practicing its rights. The nation should elect its representatives. Because the nation is not just the religious people but all the citizens."

Mr. Mahdi said he believed that the dangers of a full-blown Islamic theocracy coming to
Iraq were minimal. Ayatollah Sistani, he said, has ruled out the use of Koranic law in governing family law.

But in saying so, Mr. Mahdi makes it clear that moderates like himself need all the help they can get.

"They have the right to be worried," he said of the Iraqi people. "I hope they would stay worried. All the people should be cautious. They should keep criticizing. I am not asking people to stop criticizing, to trust blindly."

As to the charge that he is a political opportunist, Mr. Mahdi confesses that he is a practical politician, but one who has stayed true to his principles.

"Why are you married?" he asked. "If they need me and I need them, then this is a very solid relationship."

Likewise, he makes no apologies for his intellectual evolution.

"It took 50 years to have such development," he said of his political journey. "With major events in the region going on, countries changed, their ideologies changed. It didn’t take two days."

For instance, we read the following hadith reported from 'Abd Allah b. Mas'ud, who heard the Prophet say:

The world will not come to an end until a man from my family (ahl al-bayt), who will be called al-Mahdi, emerges to rule upon my community.[1]

Another tradition reported by Abu al-Hujaf quotes the Prophet saying three times:

Listen to the good news about the Mahdi! He will rise at the time when people will be faced with severe conflict and the earth will be hit by a violent quake. He will fill the earth with justice and equity as it is filled with injustice and tyranny. He will fill the hearts of his followers with devotion and will spread justice everywhere.[2]

Abu Sa'id al-Khudari says:

The Prophet said: "Our Mahdi will have a broad forehead and a pointed nose. He will fill the earth with justice as it is filled with injustice and tyranny. He will rule for seven years." [17]

 

Greater detail is provided in another hadith reported by Abu Sa'id al-Khudari. In this tradition the Prophet said:

Severe calamity from the direction of their ruler will befall my people during the Last Days. It will be a calamity which, in severity, shall be unprecedented. It will be so violent that the earth with injustice and corruption will shrivel for its inhabitants. The believers will not find refuge from oppression. At that time God will send a man from my family to fill the earth with justice and equity just as it is filled with injustice and tyranny. The dwellers of the heavens and the earth will be pleased with him. The earth will bring forth all that grows for him, and the heavens will pour down rains in abundance. He will live among the people for seven or nine years. From all the good that God will bestow on the inhabitants of the earth, the dead will wish to come to life again.[20]

Greater detail is provided in another hadith reported by Abu Sa'id al-Khudari. In this tradition the Prophet said:

Severe calamity from the direction of their ruler will befall my people during the Last Days. It will be a calamity which, in severity, shall be unprecedented. It will be so violent that the earth with injustice and corruption will shrivel for its inhabitants. The believers will not find refuge from oppression. At that time God will send a man from my family to fill the earth with justice and equity just as it is filled with injustice and tyranny. The dwellers of the heavens and the earth will be pleased with him. The earth will bring forth all that grows for him, and the heavens will pour down rains in abundance. He will live among the people for seven or nine years. From all the good that God will bestow on the inhabitants of the earth, the dead will wish to come to life again.[20]

 

The US cancels Iraqi debts
Iraq-USA, Economics, 12/18/2004

The USA has cancelled all Iraqi debts owed to it estimated at $ 4.1 billion and called on other countries to take similar steps for the need to rebuild Iraq which was destroyed by war.

The agreement on abrogating the debts was signed in Washington on Friday by the US secretary of state Colin Powell, the treasure secretary John Snow, and the Iraqi minister of finance Adel Abdul Mahdi.

Powell expressed his conviction that abrogating the Iraqi debts is one of the most important contributions for the USA to a new start for Iraq.

Countries members in the Paris Club has chopped some 80% of the debts of the due former Iraqi regime, while the US approved to chop 100% of its due debts.

Both Powell and Snow urged the club's non- member states to abrogate Iraq's debts estimated at a volume of $ 127 billion, according to the Iraqi minister.

"Lifting the crushing burden of the old regime's debt is one of the most important contributions we can make to Iraq's new beginning," Powell said at the signing ceremony.

Minister al-Mahdi noted that Iraq was a donor nation in the early 1970s, but he said, "Over two decades, all the fortunes and wealth of Iraq were destroyed. Instead of having billions of reserves, Iraq was left with billions in debts."

The minister blamed the former regime of Saddam Hussein for wasting Iraq's wealth in wars with its neighbors.

Secretary Snow said, "The situation that Iraq faces is unprecedented, and the response of the world community needed to be unprecedented as well." He said dramatic debt relief is necessary if Iraq is to be able to reintegrate into the world community.

The agreement to write off Iraq's debt to the United States follows a decision by the Paris Club of creditor nations to write off 80 percent of Iraq's debt to its members in a three-phase process over the next four years. The November agreement of the Paris Club reduced Iraq's debt to the member nations from $38.9 billion to $7.8 billion.

Al-Mahdi characterized the Paris Club agreement as "a second liberation of Iraq after the fall of Saddam Hussein." He said that liberating the economy is an important part of liberating Iraq.

Powell hailed the debt relief that Iraq has received saying, "Rather than financing the vices of the old tyrant, Iraq's treasures and resources are being used to bolster security and build infrastructure, to care for the nation's elderly and educate its young people."

Prior to receiving debt relief from the Paris Club and the United States, Iraq's total external obligations stood at $127 billion. As part of the Paris Club arrangement, Iraq is required to seek comparable reductions from other lenders. U.S. officials explain that the Paris Club has a pattern of setting the parameters for debt relief. When the Paris Club agrees on a reduction, other creditors are expected to follow suit. The officials are confident that Iraq will receive at least a comparable 80 percent write off from its remaining lenders.

Al-Mahdi said that the agreements with the Paris Club and the United States provide momentum as Iraq moves forward in discussions with other lenders.

Snow added that the United States is prepared to help Iraq negotiate debt relief with other countries. Powell said that he hopes other lenders will go beyond the expected 80 percent reduction and forgive all of Iraq's debt, as the United States has done.

Al-Mahdi said, "We need each cent, each dollar for the development process." Powell added, "The international community must ensure that the path to progress is as clear as possible."

Powell called the signing of the debt relief agreement a beginning rather than an end, saying, "In the coming months and years, the United States will continue to stand by the people of Iraq and the elected government that will soon speak on their behalf after the elections next month."

 

 

 

 

 

 

Juhaz addressing a rally.

 

"No blood for oil" rings as true today as it did 15 years ago.

Oil has been at the heart of U.S. engagement in Iraq for decades. However, it has fallen out of the discussion of the latest events in Iraq. It is now time to bring it back in before the United States succeeds in privatizing Iraq's oil - the big prize at the end of two military invasions and one occupation.

Gaining guaranteed access to
Iraq's oil has driven U.S. policy towards Iraq for decades. The reason is simple: Iraq's current reserves are stated as 112 billion barrels, the world's second largest after Saudi Arabia. According to a 2003 report by the US Department of Energy, Iraq's real reserves may be far greater - as much as 300-400 billion barrels after further prospecting.

Thus, George Bush Senior declared on the eve of the first Gulf War in August 1990 that "Our jobs, our way of life, our own freedom and the freedom of friendly countries around the world would all suffer if control of the world's great oil reserves fell into the hands of Saddam Hussein."

In 1992, current Vice President Dick Cheney's (then Defense Secretary Cheney) Defense Policy Guidance Report explained "Our overall objective is to remain the predominant outside power in the [
Middle East] region and preserve U.S. and Western access to the region's oil."

Finally,
U.S. corporations have also not been shy about their interest in Iraq's oil. As Chevron CEO Kenneth T. Derr told an audience in San Francisco in 1988, "Iraq possesses huge reserves of oil and gas - reserves I'd love Chevron to have access to." After two wars 

 

 

 U.S. corporations have also not been shy about their interest in Iraq's oil.

 

 

and one occupation, Bush, Cheney and Derr may finally get their wish.

Dr. Adel Abdul Mahdi is the front-runner for the position of Prime Minister in the new Iraqi transitional government. Mahdi is a leading member of the United Iraqi Alliance - the Shiia political alliance put together by Grand Ayatollah al-Sistani which is poised to receive a controlling representation in the new National Assembly elected on January 30.

Mahdi also has the support of the Bush Administration. According to the Associated Press, Mahdi's "chances of becoming prime minister have improved after two visits to Washington over the past few months, when he met with President Bush and Vice President Dick Cheney." The Bush Administration has grown quite familiar and comfortable with Mahdi as he served on both the U.S.-appointed Iraqi Governing Council and on the Interim Iraqi Government as its Finance Minister.

There are several reasons why the Bush Administration supports Mahdi. As Finance Minister, Mahdi has aggressively applied the free market economic policies put in place by L. Paul Bremer, the head of the
U.S. occupation government in Iraq - the Coalition Provisional Authority - until the June 30 "hand-over" of authority to the interim government.

After Bremer left, Mahdi was the man who has seen to it that the radical "Bremer Orders" are imposed, including opening Iraq's banking sector to foreign private banks, opening Iraq's businesses to foreign investment while simultaneously reducing the requirements placed on investors to ensure that the local Iraqi economy benefits from their presence, eliminating trade restrictions, transforming Iraq's tax code and it's agricultural sector, beginning 

 

 

 The Bush administration is going to control the largest pot of money available in Iraq (the $24 billion in U.S. taxpayer money allocated for the reconstruction), the largest military and the rules governing Iraq's economy.

 

 

the process of eliminating the guaranteed food program and beginning the process of privatization of all of Iraq's state-owned industries.

One critical economic change that Bremer was unable to achieve, however, was the passage of laws opening
Iraq's oil sector to foreign ownership or private investment. This is where Mahdi comes in.

On Mahdi's second visit to the
U.S. in recent months, he held a joint press conference with Alan Larson of the U.S. Department of State. The press conference took place on December 21 at the National Press Club in Washington, DC. Mahdi told a handful of reporters and industry insiders who attended the event that Iraq wants to issue a new oil law that would open Iraq's national oil company to private foreign investment.

Mahdi explained: "So I think this is very promising to the American investors and to American enterprise, certainly to oil companies."

In other words, Mahdi proposed privatizing
Iraq's oil industry and putting it into American corporate hands.

According to Mahdi, foreigners would gain access both to "downstream" and "maybe even upstream" oil investment. This means foreigners can sell Iraqi oil and own it under the ground - the very thing for which many argue the
U.S. went to war in the first place.

While announcing the selling-off of the resource that provides nearly all of Iraqi revenue may not have garnered Mahdi many Iraqi votes, it unquestionably provided him with tremendous support from the Bush Administration and
U.S. corporations.

Mahdi's United Iraqi Alliance was always the front-runner in the elections, particularly as it became increasingly clear that Sunnis were either 

 

 

 One might argue that the Bush administration made a deal with the United Iraqi Alliance: Iraq's oil for guaranteed political power.

 

 

boycotting the vote or were going to be unable to vote in large numbers due to the violence in their neighborhoods. If Bush had suggested to Iraq's Interim Prime Minister Iyad Allawi that elections should be called off, Mahdi and the United Iraqi Alliance's ultimate chances of a dominant victory would have declined.

Thus, one might argue that the Bush administration made a deal with the United Iraqi Alliance:
Iraq's oil for guaranteed political power. The Americans are able to put forward such a bargain because Bush still holds the strings in Iraq.

Regardless of what happens in the elections, for at least the next year during which the newly elected National Assembly writes a constitution and Iraqis vote for a new government, the Bush administration is going to control the largest pot of money available in Iraq (the $24 billion in U.S. taxpayer money allocated for the reconstruction), the largest military and the rules governing Iraq's economy. Both the money and the rules will, in turn, be overseen by U.S.-appointed auditors and inspector generals who sit in every Iraqi ministry with five-year terms and sweeping authority over contracts and regulations. However, the one thing which the administration has not been unable to confer upon itself is guaranteed access to Iraqi oil - that is, until now.

The Bush administration cannot be permitted to declare a war for "Iraqi freedom" and respond with an economic invasion that turns
Iraq into a U.S. corporate grab bag. "No blood for oil" rings as true today as it did 15 years ago.